Saturday, January 7, 2012

Don't pick your nose with a power drill



Derivatives offer useful and cost-effective ways for investors to manage risks. In the ETF world, derivatives have democratized investor access to asset classes like commodities and currencies, and to strategies like covered-call writing, use of leverage and short selling. Previously the sole domain of professional and sophisticated investors, this freedom has come with the expected consequences of misuse and plain ignorant use of some or all of these products.
Three questions arise from the increasing use of synthetic structures in retail products.
  1. Are the benefits and costs associated with these products adequately understood by users?
  2. Are there potential systemic risks arising from the growing popularity of these instruments?
  3. Who is best equipped to determine if investors should have access to these products: regulators, investment professionals, or investors themselves? Each will be examined in more detail over the next three months. Here is a broad overview.  
Overview: The right tool for the job
Having a plan is as basic to portfolio construction as it is in the workshop. What will the portfolio have to do? What characteristics must it have? Selecting the appropriate tools and materials and understanding the capabilities and inherent risks with each is simply common sense. While possible to drive a nail with a screwdriver, it isn’t always as effective as using a hammer. Selecting ETFs is no different.
Returns are difficult to predict, but costs are different. The ETF Screener on the TMX Money website offers two basic ETF classifications: those using passive strategies and those using embedded strategies and costs are behind each.
Passive
These are straightforward ETFs that replicate an index and hold the actual components or a stratified sampling of the index holdings. Examples:
PASSIVE
TICKER
MER
BMO Aggregate Bond
ZAG
0.50%
Claymore S&P/TSX Canadian Dividend
CDZ
0.60%
Claymore Gold Bullion
CGL
0.50%
iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index
XIU
0.17%
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy
XEG
0.55%
iShares S&P 500
XPS
0.24%
PowerShares Canadian Dividend Index
PDC
0.50%
PowerShares QQQ (CDN Hedged)
QQC
0.32%
PowerShares Ultra DLux Long Term Government Bond
PGL
0.25%
RBC 2013 Target Corporate Bond
RQA
0.30%
RBC 2014 Target Corporate Bond
RQB
0.30%
RBC 2020 Target Corporate Bond
RQH
0.30%

Embedded strategies
All other ETFs fall into this category, suggesting additional analysis may be required. We have broken these into three subsets with additional costs associated with each.
Strategic: Holding equal dollar amounts of index components is one example. Proponents claim reduced large capitalization company bias in an index allows smaller faster-growing companies to contribute equally. Whether or not you believe this (there is research supporting both sides), more frequent rebalancing incurs more trading costs. This holds true for so-called fundamentally weighted indexes and active ETFs. Investors must decide if the costs are justified by the strategy. Examples:
EMBEDDED STRATEGIES – STRATEGIC
TICKER
MER
BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight Oil & Gas
ZEO
0.55%
Claymore Canadian Fundamental
CRQ
0.65%
Horizons Dividend
HAL
0.70%

Exchange-traded derivatives: These ETFs can involve options and futures and introduce time as a more critical investment factor. Covered-call ETFs, for example, alter risk over time; modestly for ETFs overwriting a small portion of underlying holdings (i.e. FXF) to those that overwrite all of the holdings (i.e. ZWB). Commodity ETFs can hold the underlying commodity, but many use futures. This subjects these ETFs to liquidity, basis, contango and backwardation risk. ETFs using exchange-traded derivatives introduce some elements of additional cost from liquidity, basis, timing (backwardation/contango) in addition to possibly higher management costs. Leveraged-long and leveraged-short ETFs also fall into this category.
Examples:
EMBEDDED STRATEGIES - EXCHANGE TRADED DERIVATIVES
TICKER
MER
BMO Covered Call Canadian Banks
ZWB
0.65%
Horizons S&P/TSX 60 Bull
HXU
1.15%
XTF Can 60 Covered Call
LXF
0.65%
XTF Can Financial Covered Call
FXF
0.65%
XTF Tech Giants Covered Call
TXF
0.65%

Over-the-counter derivatives: OTC derivatives are based upon total return swaps. A dealer commits to pay the return of an index over a particular time period in exchange for collateral. This introduces a potential cost as credit risk because the dealer or counterparty is promising to pay. It also introduces potential liquidity risk related to the collateral. Examples:
EMBEDDED STRATEGIES -OVER-THE-COUNTER DERIVATIVES
TICKER
MER
Horizons S&P/TSX 60 Index (swap fee 0.0%)
HXT
0.07%
Horizons S&P 500 (swap fee 0.30%)
HXS
0.15%

Investors and their advisors have a duty to understanding the risks inherent in these products and their potential impact on broader markets. Do regulators know better than advisors or their clients whether these products have a place in retail portfolios? We’ll address these issues in future columns.